Conditional Probability
Conditional Probability: Overview
In this topic, we will learn about the concept of conditional probability. The probability of occurrence of an event through illustrated examples and exercises is discussed under this section.
Important Questions on Conditional Probability
Assume that each born child is equally likely to be a boy or a girl. If a family has two children, what is the conditional probability that both are girls given that at least one is a girl?

A black and a red dice are rolled. Find the conditional probability of obtaining the sum , given that the red die resulted in a number less than .

Two coins are tossed once. Find , If events and are defined as follows:
: no tail appears, : no head appears

A coin is tossed three times. Find . If events and are defined as follows:
: at most two tails, : at least one tail.

A coin is tossed three times. Find , If events and are defined as follows:
: at least two heads, : at most two heads.

If and are any two events such that , then

If and are two events such that and , then

An electronic assembly consists of two subsystems, say, and . From previous testing procedures, the following probabilities are assumed to be known:
Evaluate the following probability

If each element of a second order determinant is either zero or one, what is the probability that the value of the determinant is positive? (Assume that the individual entries of the determinant are chosen independently, each value being assumed with probability )

Suppose we have four boxes. and containing colored marbles as given below:
Marble color | |||
---|---|---|---|
Box | Red | White | Black |
A | |||
B | |||
C | |||
D |
One of the boxes has been selected at random and a single marble is drawn from it. If the marble is red, what is the probability that it was drawn from box ?, box ?, box ?

How many times must a man toss a fair coin so that the probability of having at least one head is more than ?

If a leap year is selected at random, what is the chance that it will contain Tuesdays?

In a hurdle race, a player has to cross hurdles. The probability that he will clear each hurdle is . What is the probability that he will knock down fewer than hurdles?

An urn contains balls of which balls bear a mark and the remaining bear a mark . A ball is drawn at random from the urn, its mark is noted down and it is replaced. If balls are drawn in this way, find the probability that at least one ball will bear mark.

An urn contains balls of which balls bear a mark ‘ ’ and the remaining bear a mark ‘ ’. A ball is drawn at random from the urn, its mark is noted down and it is replaced. If balls are drawn in this way, find the probability that all will bear ‘ ’ mark.

Suppose that of men and of women have grey hair. A grey haired person is selected at random. What is the probability of this person being male?

A couple has two children, find the probability that both children are males, if it is known that at least one of the children is male.

and are two events such that . Find , if is a subset of

If and are events such that , then

If , then is
